Old Dominion — 2026 schedule & results record 2-6 · model's picks 6-2 so far
Proj rating -4.0 · SOS -6.9 · Mean wins 6.6 · Picked 7-5 · Vegas 7.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Norfolk State | home | W 31–10 | -41.25 ✗ | +26.8 | 94% | W ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Virginia Tech | away | L 21–44 | +17.75 ✗ | -3.3 | 42% | L ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | East Carolina | home | L 17–20 | -2.5 ✗ | -2.5 | 43% | L ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | James Madison | home | L 20–46 | +7 ✗ | -3.3 | 41% | L ✓ |
James Madison -4.5 · WIN +26 |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | Georgia State | away | L 10–42 | +2 ✗ | +8.3 | 68% | W ✗ | |
| 6 | Sat 10/10 | App State | away | W 10–3 | +9 ✓ | +1.2 | 52% | W ✓ | |
| 7 | Thu 10/15 | Georgia Southern | home | L 15–23 | +3 ✗ | +8.0 | 68% | W ✗ |
Georgia Southern -3.5 · WIN +18 Old Dominion +3.5 · LOSS -50 |
| 8 | Sat 10/24 | Louisiana Tech | away | L 0–26 | +13.5 ✗ | -4.9 | 39% | L ✓ | |
| 9 | Sat 10/31 | Marshall | home | — | +2.5 | +1.2 | 52% | W | |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | Coastal Carolina | away | — | — | +5.2 | 61% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | UConn | away | — | — | -3.7 | 41% | L | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | Southern Miss | home | — | — | +1.8 | 54% | W |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.